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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.46+6.37vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+2.70vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+0.17vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+1.80vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36-0.24vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-4.07vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.09vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-2.79vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.28+1.59vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.51-2.35vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.35-3.07vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.74-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.36University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.7Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.17Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.38College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.93Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.59Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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10.93Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.81Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haddon Hughes | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Paris Henken | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 14.8% | 61.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 11.4% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 13.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.