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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.00vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.52+5.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.48+5.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+3.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77+4.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02-0.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-0.28vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.63-1.58vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.74-2.89vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32-2.40vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.97-5.64vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.66-2.11vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.10-4.67vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.24-0.48vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.73-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.74Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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6.22Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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7.42Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.36Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.33Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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14.52Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Chester Jacobs | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Julien Guiot | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Franco Bilik | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| August Sturm | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Sam Shannon | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Shea | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Christian Filter | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 8.5% |
| Anna Weis | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 13.1% | 64.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.