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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+4.95vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+3.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+4.80vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.63+2.52vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.66+4.96vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.73+3.78vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.48-0.14vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.10+0.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-2.09vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.69-3.71vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.52-4.07vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.77-2.45vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.24+0.46vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.97-8.67vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.74-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.52Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.96Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.93Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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14.46Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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6.33Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| August Sturm | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Sam Shannon | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 9.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 7.8% |
| Julien Guiot | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Anna Weis | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Chester Jacobs | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 7.4% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 62.7% |
| Christian Filter | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.