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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.74+4.99vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.73+7.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+2.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.02+1.12vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.10+3.49vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.48+1.07vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.63-0.70vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32-0.46vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.52-2.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-3.15vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.69-4.62vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.97-6.81vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.77-3.52vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.66-3.92vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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10.68Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.49Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.3Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.91Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.19Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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14.55Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Drake Lyon | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 6.6% |
| August Sturm | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Anna Weis | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Julien Guiot | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Sam Shannon | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Shea | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Chester Jacobs | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Christian Filter | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 6.7% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 9.9% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.