← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.02+4.94vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.69+5.20vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+3.25vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.31vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.74+2.12vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+1.95vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College1.73+3.75vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.32+0.51vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.63-1.57vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.48-1.93vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.66-0.14vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.52-4.11vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.77-2.46vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.10-4.74vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College2.97-8.62vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College0.24-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.94Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
-
7.2Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.12Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
-
10.75Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
8.51Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
7.43Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.07Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
-
10.86Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
-
7.89Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
-
10.54University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
-
9.26Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
-
6.38Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
-
14.54Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| August Sturm | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 7.8% |
| Samuel Shea | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Sam Shannon | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Julien Guiot | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 8.3% |
| Chester Jacobs | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 7.6% |
| Anna Weis | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Christian Filter | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 12.0% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.