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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+5.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+4.17vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.74+4.06vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+3.41vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.10+4.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+1.91vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.63+0.57vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.32+0.49vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.66+1.90vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.73+0.76vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.48-2.96vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.82vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.52-5.18vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.77-3.51vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.24-0.49vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.97-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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7.57Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.9Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.82Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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14.51Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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6.29Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| August Sturm | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Drake Lyon | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Franco Bilik | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Anna Weis | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Sam Shannon | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Shea | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 8.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 7.3% |
| Julien Guiot | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Chester Jacobs | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 6.8% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 65.9% |
| Christian Filter | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.