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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+4.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02+3.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+4.01vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.66+5.99vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.63+1.57vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.48+1.16vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.10+1.28vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.52-1.19vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-3.70vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.73-0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.77-1.42vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.74-5.99vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.32-5.51vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.69-7.66vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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6.05Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.57Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.28Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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6.3Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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14.57Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| August Sturm | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 8.5% |
| Sam Shannon | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Julien Guiot | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Anna Weis | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Chester Jacobs | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Christian Filter | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 7.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 8.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Shea | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.