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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.98+6.67vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+7.89vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.56+6.34vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.30+2.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14-1.01vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.82+2.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.35vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.37+1.95vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.73-0.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.26vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.50-1.39vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.59-6.28vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.27-2.56vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-7.15vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.13-3.96vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.26-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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9.89Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.34Boston University1.560.0%1st Place
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6.74Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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8.43Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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8.69Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University1.500.0%1st Place
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5.72Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.44Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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11.04Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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10.58Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% |
| John Wetzel | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.0% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jackson McCoy | 20.9% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% |
| Zachary Jordan | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| Thomas Walden | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Emmett Ulian | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 16.6% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.