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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+3.13vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.31+3.16vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+4.12vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.53+4.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.86+1.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.36-1.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+0.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.56+3.38vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.14-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California-0.12+0.07vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.68-3.70vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-3.51vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.40-1.96vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.13vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.00-1.96vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-4.06vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-1.45vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.60-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13University of Southern California1.7119.3%1st Place
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5.16University of Hawaii1.3113.1%1st Place
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7.12California Poly Maritime Academy0.537.0%1st Place
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8.72San Diego State University0.534.2%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Berkeley0.869.2%1st Place
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5.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.3613.9%1st Place
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7.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.2%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Berkeley-0.562.5%1st Place
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8.58Texas A&M University0.144.3%1st Place
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10.07University of Southern California-0.122.4%1st Place
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7.3Northwestern University0.686.2%1st Place
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8.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.8%1st Place
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11.04Arizona State University-0.402.1%1st Place
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14.13University of California at San Diego-1.130.8%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Davis-1.001.6%1st Place
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11.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.741.8%1st Place
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15.55University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.9%1st Place
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14.96Arizona State University-1.600.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 19.3% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Fineman | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Cole Broberg | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lara Granucci | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| Jason Yang | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 7.6% |
| Annika Burns | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 19.2% | 39.6% |
| Erin Welker | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 21.3% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.