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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.26+9.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.30+4.52vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+6.96vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.98+3.91vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.37+4.08vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14-2.89vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.27+2.36vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.50+0.60vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.56-0.55vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.73-2.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.29vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-4.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-5.90vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-7.91vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.13-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.35Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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6.52Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.96Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.91Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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5.67Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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4.11Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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10.36Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University1.500.0%1st Place
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9.45Boston University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.74Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.33Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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7.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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11.04Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Baskin | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Walden | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% |
| Jackson McCoy | 21.7% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% |
| John Wetzel | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Zachary Jordan | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.