Race 3B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Jennifer Killian 2.5% 3.9% 4.9% 4.5% 5.2% 5.3% 4.0% 6.4% 6.1% 5.1% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 8.3% 10.2% 11.6%
Gabriel Hannon 5.3% 7.3% 6.8% 6.8% 7.2% 6.3% 5.7% 7.4% 6.5% 7.9% 6.3% 6.4% 6.4% 6.1% 4.1% 3.5%
Rachel Foster 8.7% 8.4% 8.2% 8.6% 7.3% 7.4% 9.6% 6.8% 8.6% 5.9% 6.8% 5.5% 2.4% 2.7% 1.9% 1.2%
Greta Farrell 6.0% 8.2% 8.5% 8.4% 7.0% 7.2% 7.0% 7.8% 7.4% 6.3% 6.3% 6.1% 4.6% 4.5% 3.0% 1.7%
Samantha Brown 3.2% 3.5% 2.8% 3.1% 4.3% 5.7% 5.0% 5.4% 6.6% 6.4% 6.7% 6.7% 8.4% 9.2% 12.3% 10.7%
Liam Ballantyne 5.3% 4.4% 6.1% 8.0% 6.6% 5.0% 8.1% 5.1% 7.0% 7.0% 7.6% 5.8% 7.4% 6.4% 6.0% 4.2%
Jackson McCoy 21.1% 14.9% 13.7% 12.0% 9.6% 6.7% 6.1% 4.7% 3.6% 3.8% 1.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Baskin 3.2% 3.5% 4.2% 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 5.1% 5.3% 4.7% 5.5% 5.8% 7.9% 8.6% 9.1% 11.1% 15.0%
Carolyn Corbet 5.0% 5.3% 6.1% 5.7% 5.9% 7.2% 5.8% 8.1% 6.3% 7.1% 8.4% 5.9% 6.2% 6.8% 5.2% 5.0%
John Wetzel 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.6% 5.1% 5.1% 5.3% 6.6% 8.0% 7.4% 8.2% 9.0% 6.6% 8.8% 8.1%
Catherine Price 8.1% 7.8% 8.3% 8.1% 7.0% 7.5% 6.4% 7.6% 8.3% 7.4% 5.7% 5.0% 4.9% 4.9% 1.7% 1.3%
Caelan Juckniess 5.1% 4.6% 5.0% 6.5% 6.3% 6.8% 6.8% 5.9% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 7.2% 6.5% 8.1% 6.5% 6.0%
Thomas Walden 10.9% 12.8% 10.3% 8.0% 11.2% 8.8% 7.7% 7.2% 5.4% 4.9% 4.8% 3.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Bobby McLaughlin 4.2% 3.9% 4.3% 3.9% 4.5% 5.6% 6.3% 6.6% 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 7.8% 8.0% 8.4% 9.0% 8.6%
Julia Leighton 5.2% 4.4% 4.1% 6.2% 5.3% 7.3% 7.1% 6.2% 6.0% 6.9% 7.4% 7.7% 7.4% 7.6% 6.6% 4.6%
Emmett Ulian 1.9% 2.8% 2.4% 3.0% 4.2% 3.8% 4.2% 4.2% 4.8% 5.4% 5.7% 8.2% 8.6% 9.6% 12.9% 18.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.