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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.98+6.91vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+3.83vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+1.16vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.30+3.04vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+2.32vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.37+4.41vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.21+0.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+0.38vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39+1.22vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.13+1.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.11vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.50-2.10vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-4.37vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.94-5.96vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.56-5.24vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.26-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.16Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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7.04Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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10.22Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.28Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.63Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.04Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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9.76Boston University1.560.0%1st Place
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10.87Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Walden | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| Jackson McCoy | 19.9% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% |
| Catherine Price | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.4% |
| Emmett Ulian | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 18.5% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| John Wetzel | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.