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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.98+6.91vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.56+7.47vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.27vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.59+1.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.94+3.29vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.82+2.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.30-1.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.50+0.83vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.98vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.14-6.84vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.21-4.76vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.13-1.79vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-3.83vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.37-4.53vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.26-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston University1.560.0%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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5.99Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.29Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.73Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University1.500.0%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.16Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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7.24Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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11.21Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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10.17Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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10.86Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| John Wetzel | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Walden | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Jackson McCoy | 20.8% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Price | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% |
| Emmett Ulian | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 19.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 10.9% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.