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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+6.16vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+3.84vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+1.15vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.98+4.20vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+5.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.30+0.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.50+2.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.75vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.82-0.39vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.94-1.74vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.37-0.69vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.26-1.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-4.46vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.56-4.48vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.21-7.72vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.13-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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5.84Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.15Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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8.2Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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10.36Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.99Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.26Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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10.31University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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10.71Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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9.52Boston University1.560.0%1st Place
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7.28Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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11.32Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Walden | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 20.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.7% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% |
| Alexander Baskin | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 16.5% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| John Wetzel | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
| Catherine Price | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.