Race 1A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Roleke 23.0% 17.9% 17.1% 14.0% 12.3% 7.1% 4.7% 3.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Brendon Wilkins 12.6% 12.3% 16.2% 12.6% 14.5% 12.0% 11.3% 5.3% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 9.8% 10.6% 11.1% 14.9% 13.3% 14.7% 13.5% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 13.2% 16.2% 14.9% 14.8% 15.2% 11.1% 8.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 3.6% 5.1% 4.6% 6.6% 5.9% 10.2% 12.5% 18.2% 18.7% 14.6% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 3.6% 5.1% 4.6% 6.6% 5.9% 10.2% 12.5% 18.2% 18.7% 14.6% 0.0%
Frederick Piasecki 8.4% 7.7% 9.3% 10.1% 11.6% 16.3% 13.3% 13.8% 7.2% 2.3% 0.0%
Dylan Brady 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 4.1% 5.0% 8.0% 13.4% 23.3% 38.7% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 23.4% 22.6% 16.5% 14.7% 10.7% 7.2% 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Stoner 2.2% 2.7% 4.2% 4.7% 5.9% 7.5% 11.5% 15.7% 22.8% 22.8% 0.0%
Edgard Sanchez 2.5% 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 6.5% 8.9% 14.2% 16.7% 19.3% 19.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.