Race 2A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jeremy McCauley 16.9% 13.9% 15.5% 13.7% 12.9% 9.3% 11.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 21.2% 20.1% 15.6% 15.6% 11.7% 7.7% 6.2% 1.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 23.3% 19.6% 17.3% 15.3% 11.5% 6.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendon Wilkins 11.5% 15.3% 12.5% 14.4% 15.3% 12.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 3.6% 5.1% 5.3% 5.4% 7.0% 8.8% 12.3% 17.7% 20.5% 14.3% 0.0%
Frederick Piasecki 8.5% 7.4% 9.2% 9.4% 12.6% 15.8% 13.0% 14.2% 7.0% 2.9% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 8.6% 11.2% 13.0% 13.8% 14.0% 15.2% 11.3% 9.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Dylan Brady 1.2% 2.0% 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 6.0% 9.4% 12.0% 18.5% 40.7% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 3.6% 5.1% 5.3% 5.4% 7.0% 8.8% 12.3% 17.7% 20.5% 14.3% 0.0%
Edgard Sanchez 3.1% 2.8% 4.3% 4.6% 6.1% 10.0% 12.8% 17.5% 21.3% 17.5% 0.0%
Jacob Stoner 2.1% 2.6% 4.5% 4.3% 5.0% 8.1% 10.1% 17.0% 23.8% 22.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.