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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.08+3.56vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.89+1.10vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.27+1.26vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.73vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72+0.29vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook1.41-2.12vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.06-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.33-0.66vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.93-0.67vs Predicted
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10American University-0.75-1.95vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.06-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.1Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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4.26Old Dominion University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.27Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.2%1st Place
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5.29Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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3.88SUNY Stony Brook1.410.2%1st Place
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6.91Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.33Rutgers University-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.05American University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.91Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 23.6% | 21.4% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendon Wilkins | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 19.5% | 21.4% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 16.7% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Molman | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 25.4% | 37.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Brady | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 22.3% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.