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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.88+4.06vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+0.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.51+7.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+1.62vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.53+9.18vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University0.20+1.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.25+0.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+1.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.90+2.59vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-2.33vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.24+2.44vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-0.57vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.91-1.12vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.85+1.96vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy-0.89-3.31vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-1.53-1.53vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.19-3.73vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.84-2.15vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-3.32vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.15-2.95vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.35-3.27vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.58-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06California Poly Maritime Academy0.8810.2%1st Place
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2.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1339.1%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Berkeley-0.513.2%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.639.2%1st Place
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14.18Arizona State University-1.531.1%1st Place
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7.08Santa Clara University0.206.0%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Santa Barbara0.256.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Santa Cruz-0.383.4%1st Place
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11.59University of California at San Diego-0.902.1%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.245.6%1st Place
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13.44San Diego State University-1.241.7%1st Place
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11.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.861.9%1st Place
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11.88San Diego State University-0.911.6%1st Place
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15.96California State University Monterey Bay-1.850.8%1st Place
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11.69California Poly Maritime Academy-0.892.0%1st Place
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14.47University of California at Berkeley-1.530.7%1st Place
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13.27San Diego State University-1.191.4%1st Place
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15.85University of California at Los Angeles-1.840.8%1st Place
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15.68California State University Monterey Bay-1.831.0%1st Place
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17.05University of California at Davis-2.150.7%1st Place
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17.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.350.2%1st Place
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14.51University of California at Davis-1.581.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Cuyler | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 39.1% | 25.4% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hongzhen Chen | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Sharp | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Eoghan Kelley | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JT Long | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brily Petersen | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Liam Marney | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Dante Drolet | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% |
| Annika Altman | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 18.9% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 26.9% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.