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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+6.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.33+7.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+6.29vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.32vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.61+3.73vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74-1.56vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.78+0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.69+0.39vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.28+0.71vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-1.84vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+0.68vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.43-6.39vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-3.07vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.37-4.38vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.28vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.91vs Predicted
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17Queen's University0.43+0.70vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.55-5.33vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.57-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University3.610.0%1st Place
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4.44Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.82College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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9.71SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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8.16Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.68Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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5.61Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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10.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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17.7Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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17.36Washington College0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Eric Horrocks | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 20.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| William Hutchings | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| John Wallace | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Michael Russom | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Brown | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 28.3% | 52.9% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Karl Kurland | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 35.7% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.