Race 5A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Roleke 21.7% 20.8% 15.5% 13.6% 12.9% 7.4% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 22.5% 18.5% 17.0% 15.8% 11.5% 8.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Stoner 2.8% 2.8% 3.8% 4.3% 4.7% 7.9% 10.5% 16.0% 24.1% 23.1% 0.0%
Brendon Wilkins 11.6% 14.2% 14.3% 13.0% 15.6% 13.2% 9.1% 5.4% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 4.1% 4.2% 5.1% 6.5% 6.8% 9.1% 13.5% 17.7% 18.6% 14.4% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 15.6% 15.5% 14.7% 15.0% 12.3% 10.5% 9.6% 4.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Edgard Sanchez 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 5.4% 6.1% 9.8% 14.4% 19.3% 18.5% 17.9% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 10.4% 11.8% 14.1% 11.4% 14.8% 14.7% 11.2% 6.6% 4.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Frederick Piasecki 7.2% 7.6% 9.5% 12.2% 11.5% 14.0% 15.1% 11.9% 8.3% 2.7% 0.0%
Dylan Brady 1.5% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 8.4% 14.5% 19.5% 39.9% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 4.1% 4.2% 5.1% 6.5% 6.8% 9.1% 13.5% 17.7% 18.6% 14.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.