Race 6A

william-mary-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Roleke 22.9% 19.6% 16.4% 13.0% 12.3% 8.3% 4.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Brendon Wilkins 12.6% 12.8% 14.1% 13.8% 14.7% 12.1% 11.0% 6.0% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 22.1% 19.3% 16.5% 15.5% 12.2% 7.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Frederick Piasecki 5.9% 8.3% 10.9% 10.1% 12.0% 15.0% 15.6% 12.3% 6.8% 3.1% 0.0%
Edgard Sanchez 3.6% 4.8% 4.3% 4.9% 6.8% 8.0% 12.5% 15.5% 22.3% 17.3% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 12.3% 10.3% 11.5% 13.5% 14.3% 14.0% 10.6% 8.0% 4.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.9% 2.8% 4.3% 6.0% 7.7% 9.6% 14.2% 19.2% 18.4% 14.9% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 13.9% 17.5% 15.4% 15.4% 11.8% 11.0% 8.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Stoner 2.5% 2.9% 3.9% 3.9% 5.1% 9.0% 11.3% 16.1% 23.3% 22.0% 0.0%
Dylan Brady 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 3.9% 3.1% 5.4% 8.3% 13.1% 19.7% 40.8% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.9% 2.8% 4.3% 6.0% 7.7% 9.6% 14.2% 19.2% 18.4% 14.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.