Race 1B

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
George White 32.6% 25.0% 16.8% 12.5% 7.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dario Abou Rjeili 14.6% 17.0% 18.1% 16.2% 17.1% 8.8% 6.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Sander 4.6% 7.2% 7.3% 10.2% 13.1% 19.4% 21.2% 11.9% 4.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Ian O'Connell 15.1% 16.2% 18.8% 18.1% 16.6% 8.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 22.1% 22.9% 19.3% 16.6% 10.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.5% 0.3% 1.1% 1.0% 2.2% 3.5% 4.8% 10.0% 28.8% 47.8% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 5.2% 5.6% 9.7% 12.2% 16.5% 19.1% 18.2% 9.3% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.5% 0.3% 1.1% 1.0% 2.2% 3.5% 4.8% 10.0% 28.8% 47.8% 0.0%
Margaret Morrow 2.1% 1.8% 3.6% 4.5% 6.8% 11.0% 16.0% 29.0% 18.1% 7.1% 0.0%
Ryan Howard 2.7% 3.4% 4.6% 7.5% 8.1% 16.1% 20.6% 23.4% 11.1% 2.5% 0.0%
Andrew Fallone 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 2.2% 3.5% 4.8% 12.1% 32.9% 41.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.