Race 2B

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
George White 21.6% 24.2% 20.6% 17.1% 9.5% 4.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 13.5% 17.9% 23.9% 18.6% 16.0% 6.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Sander 2.9% 5.1% 7.5% 9.5% 14.5% 23.7% 22.7% 10.5% 3.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 42.4% 31.1% 16.6% 6.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian O'Connell 11.4% 12.7% 18.7% 22.8% 18.5% 9.6% 4.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 5.2% 4.5% 7.6% 12.9% 18.6% 20.0% 16.9% 11.6% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Howard 1.4% 2.2% 3.1% 6.1% 11.1% 18.4% 26.0% 19.4% 10.5% 1.8% 0.0%
Robert Jarrett 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 4.5% 4.6% 9.3% 14.1% 30.5% 22.9% 10.7% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 2.1% 3.0% 5.2% 11.6% 29.7% 46.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 2.1% 3.0% 5.2% 11.6% 29.7% 46.3% 0.0%
Andrew Fallone 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 1.0% 2.8% 4.2% 5.3% 14.0% 31.1% 40.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.