Race 3B

william-mary-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
George White 22.0% 24.2% 21.4% 15.4% 9.5% 5.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 13.7% 19.9% 19.2% 21.6% 14.8% 7.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 42.3% 29.7% 17.3% 8.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 9.2% 12.2% 19.3% 22.9% 19.5% 10.5% 5.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 4.7% 6.4% 7.3% 11.3% 17.8% 22.1% 18.8% 8.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Peter Sander 4.5% 4.1% 7.2% 10.4% 17.4% 21.9% 18.5% 12.0% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 5.3% 13.0% 28.6% 47.4% 0.0%
Ryan Howard 1.8% 1.7% 5.5% 6.4% 10.4% 16.5% 25.0% 21.9% 8.3% 2.5% 0.0%
Robert Jarrett 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 4.9% 9.3% 16.5% 27.3% 25.2% 10.7% 0.0%
Andrew Fallone 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 2.3% 3.8% 6.4% 15.1% 31.7% 38.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 5.3% 13.0% 28.6% 47.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.