Race 4B

william-mary-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
George White 21.1% 24.3% 23.1% 15.0% 9.1% 5.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 44.3% 28.3% 17.1% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 10.0% 12.8% 15.4% 22.9% 19.6% 13.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 12.9% 19.5% 21.7% 22.2% 14.0% 7.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Sander 4.0% 5.3% 7.4% 9.5% 17.6% 19.8% 21.1% 11.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 4.4% 5.6% 7.8% 12.0% 18.6% 21.5% 17.8% 9.1% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 2.0% 1.9% 4.9% 13.6% 28.4% 47.4% 0.0%
Ryan Howard 1.7% 2.3% 5.0% 6.6% 9.5% 17.3% 25.3% 21.3% 8.5% 2.5% 0.0%
Robert Jarrett 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 3.0% 4.8% 9.0% 17.1% 26.9% 25.0% 10.7% 0.0%
Andrew Fallone 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 2.3% 3.7% 5.9% 15.6% 31.6% 38.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 2.0% 1.9% 4.9% 13.6% 28.4% 47.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.