Race 5B

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
George White 21.7% 24.2% 22.8% 14.9% 9.9% 4.4% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 43.8% 29.0% 16.6% 7.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 13.9% 18.0% 20.7% 23.5% 13.3% 8.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Sander 2.7% 4.2% 7.5% 10.8% 17.6% 22.5% 19.3% 11.9% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 10.3% 14.3% 18.7% 21.0% 18.3% 10.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 4.4% 6.3% 7.3% 11.3% 18.1% 21.5% 17.2% 11.5% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Howard 1.7% 1.8% 3.3% 5.9% 11.9% 16.3% 27.7% 18.9% 10.8% 1.7% 0.0%
Robert Jarrett 0.9% 0.9% 2.2% 2.9% 5.8% 9.6% 14.4% 29.0% 23.5% 10.8% 0.0%
Andrew Fallone 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 1.8% 2.9% 6.7% 13.4% 33.2% 39.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 3.0% 5.7% 13.2% 26.7% 47.8% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 3.0% 5.7% 13.2% 26.7% 47.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.