Race 6B

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Luca Taglialegne 46.1% 27.4% 14.6% 7.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 13.8% 19.0% 22.6% 18.7% 15.3% 6.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George White 19.9% 22.6% 22.8% 19.1% 10.5% 4.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kempton 8.2% 15.4% 17.7% 22.0% 18.7% 10.7% 6.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Sander 4.1% 5.8% 8.8% 7.8% 15.4% 22.1% 20.6% 10.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 5.1% 5.3% 6.8% 12.9% 18.1% 20.9% 16.8% 11.5% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Howard 1.6% 2.1% 3.5% 6.6% 11.3% 15.8% 27.5% 19.5% 10.2% 1.9% 0.0%
Robert Jarrett 0.5% 1.4% 2.1% 4.0% 4.0% 10.9% 12.9% 30.4% 23.1% 10.7% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 3.8% 6.0% 11.3% 29.7% 46.0% 0.0%
Andrew Fallone 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 2.1% 3.7% 6.1% 14.6% 30.5% 40.5% 0.0%
Nicholas Stamps 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 3.8% 6.0% 11.3% 29.7% 46.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.