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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.63+4.49vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.14+2.06vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.74+5.53vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.47+1.16vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.15vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36-0.37vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.10-0.60vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.30-2.45vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.31-3.16vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.78-2.71vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.21-4.87vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.64-0.83vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.19-0.53vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-1.80vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.27-2.82vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-4.23vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University0.00-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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4.06Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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8.53University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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6.16Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.84Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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7.13Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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12.17Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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13.2Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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13.18Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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13.98Sacred Heart University0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Shannon | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 18.9% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Weis | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Catherine Price | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| George Williams | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 16.5% |
| Benjamin Zheng | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 16.8% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.7% |
| Andrew Dill | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.