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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+4.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.47+5.20vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+3.28vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.90-0.55vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.58-0.96vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-0.43+7.19vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+0.56vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.27-0.18vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.79-2.51vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.70-3.47vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.31+4.18vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-4.72vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.34-1.16vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.42-1.94vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.19-4.71vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology0.01-5.05vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.27-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.45Boston College2.900.2%1st Place
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4.04Roger Williams University2.580.2%1st Place
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13.19Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.56Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.82Bowdoin College1.270.1%1st Place
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6.49Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.53Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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16.18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.310.0%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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12.84Harvard University-0.340.0%1st Place
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13.06Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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11.95Wentworth Institute of Technology0.010.0%1st Place
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11.1University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 22.5% | 21.1% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 18.8% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 5.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaler Diemer | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 10.2% | 75.4% |
| Braden Foster | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Juan Crestanello | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 6.2% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 5.9% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Gordon Lameyer | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 2.8% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.