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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+6.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.58+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94+2.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.90-0.57vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+1.16vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19+5.49vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.42+5.96vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.34+4.60vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.79-2.63vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.43+3.06vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.27-2.94vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.70-5.46vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.31+3.17vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.47-6.60vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-6.68vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.27-4.81vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology0.01-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.07Roger Williams University2.580.2%1st Place
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5.85University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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3.43Boston College2.900.2%1st Place
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6.16Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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12.96Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.6Harvard University-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.37Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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13.06Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.06Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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6.54Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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16.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.310.0%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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11.19University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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11.99Wentworth Institute of Technology0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 17.7% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 24.5% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 6.2% |
| Juan Crestanello | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 5.5% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 6.3% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaler Diemer | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 76.3% |
| Aaron Klein | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braden Foster | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| Gordon Lameyer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.