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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.40+0.70vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.67+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.68-0.50vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.05+2.61vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.09+0.34vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.19-0.44vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.52-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.64-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Notre Dame1.920.4%1st Place
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2.7University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
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3.62Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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7.61Ohio State University-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.34Grand Valley State University-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.56Hope College-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.02Western Michigan University-1.520.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Notre Dame-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 43.5% | 27.0% | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Haag | 23.1% | 27.6% | 22.5% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 11.6% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 12.7% | 16.8% | 20.6% | 23.8% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Weller | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 45.8% |
| Jacob Weesies | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 23.3% | 18.7% | 11.2% |
| Joe Cinal | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 19.2% | 21.0% | 23.1% | 13.1% |
| Casey Mcvoy | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 19.0% | 25.3% | 24.7% |
| Christian Green | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.