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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+6.61vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.69+6.83vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+8.59vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.17+2.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+5.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.37+4.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.61+2.15vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67+1.06vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.43-3.23vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.78-1.69vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.33-0.73vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.74-7.00vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-2.41vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.28-3.33vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.18vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.15vs Predicted
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17Queen's University0.43+1.11vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-5.71vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.55-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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11.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.78University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.31College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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5.0Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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10.67SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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18.11Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.29Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Hernandez | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| John Wallace | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 2.5% |
| Zachary Marks | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Horrocks | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| William Hutchings | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Chris Barnard | 14.5% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael Russom | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 4.0% |
| Joshua Brown | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 78.7% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 3.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.