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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.36+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.71+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.31+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.12+6.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.75vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+2.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.86-0.60vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-0.74vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.53-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.13+4.12vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.68-3.86vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.40-1.09vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.00-0.85vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University0.14-6.44vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.56-4.74vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-1.30vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.60-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.3613.9%1st Place
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4.35University of Southern California1.7117.9%1st Place
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5.01University of Hawaii1.3113.2%1st Place
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10.03University of Southern California-0.123.5%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.3%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.5%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Berkeley0.868.6%1st Place
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7.26California Poly Maritime Academy0.537.2%1st Place
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8.65San Diego State University0.534.6%1st Place
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14.12University of California at San Diego-1.131.4%1st Place
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7.14Northwestern University0.687.8%1st Place
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10.91Arizona State University-0.402.0%1st Place
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12.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.741.5%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Davis-1.001.2%1st Place
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8.56Texas A&M University0.144.7%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Berkeley-0.561.7%1st Place
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15.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
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14.75Arizona State University-1.600.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fineman | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| George Soliman | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Carsten Zieger | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Annika Burns | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Jason Yang | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 8.3% |
| Cole Broberg | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 21.7% | 36.9% |
| Erin Welker | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.