← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.40+1.53vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame1.92+0.05vs Predicted
-
3Grand Valley State University-1.09+3.02vs Predicted
-
4Hope College-1.19+2.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan0.68-1.61vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.67-2.57vs Predicted
-
7University of Notre Dame-2.19+0.61vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-1.52-1.43vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University-2.05-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.53University of Michigan1.400.3%1st Place
-
2.05University of Notre Dame1.920.4%1st Place
-
6.02Grand Valley State University-1.090.0%1st Place
-
6.06Hope College-1.190.0%1st Place
-
3.39University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
-
3.43Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
-
7.61University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
-
6.57Western Michigan University-1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.33Ohio State University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Haag | 27.3% | 26.3% | 23.6% | 14.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 39.2% | 31.7% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Weesies | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 18.1% | 22.6% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 6.5% |
| Joe Cinal | 1.9% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 18.3% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 14.1% | 7.9% |
| Will Neubauer | 13.5% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 23.3% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 12.8% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 27.9% | 15.1% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Powell | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 24.2% | 39.7% |
| Casey Mcvoy | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 21.5% | 20.4% | 14.6% |
| Christopher Weller | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 25.5% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.