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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.40+0.61vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.09+3.02vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.68-0.63vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.19+1.05vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.52+0.60vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.67-3.52vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.05-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.19-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of Notre Dame1.920.4%1st Place
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2.61University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
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6.02Grand Valley State University-1.090.0%1st Place
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3.37University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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6.05Hope College-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.6Western Michigan University-1.520.0%1st Place
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3.48Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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7.36Ohio State University-2.050.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 44.2% | 28.2% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Haag | 23.3% | 28.3% | 24.8% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Weesies | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 16.3% | 25.1% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 6.7% |
| Will Neubauer | 13.7% | 16.4% | 22.2% | 25.5% | 14.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cinal | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 9.4% |
| Casey Mcvoy | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 23.4% | 20.8% | 13.6% |
| Bobby Sessions | 11.8% | 16.6% | 21.6% | 24.4% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weller | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 26.3% | 31.8% |
| Kathryn Powell | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 23.1% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.