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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+1.00vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.67+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.68+0.58vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.19+2.43vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.05+2.64vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.64-0.36vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.09-0.61vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.52-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.40-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of Notre Dame1.920.4%1st Place
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3.74Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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6.43Hope College-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.64Ohio State University-2.050.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Notre Dame-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.39Grand Valley State University-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.99Western Michigan University-1.520.0%1st Place
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2.59University of Michigan1.400.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 42.5% | 31.1% | 15.0% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 9.6% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 25.1% | 16.0% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 11.7% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 18.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joe Cinal | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 19.3% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 13.2% |
| Christopher Weller | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 46.5% |
| Christian Green | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 12.1% | 4.7% |
| Jacob Weesies | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 23.0% | 20.6% | 11.1% |
| Casey Mcvoy | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 25.6% | 24.4% |
| Austin Haag | 26.8% | 26.0% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.