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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.40+1.63vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.67+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.92-0.99vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.68-0.51vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.05+2.58vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.52+0.99vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.19-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.64-2.37vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.09-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
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3.75Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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2.01University of Notre Dame1.920.4%1st Place
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3.49University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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7.58Ohio State University-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.99Western Michigan University-1.520.0%1st Place
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6.55Hope College-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Notre Dame-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.37Grand Valley State University-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Haag | 24.6% | 26.6% | 23.4% | 15.7% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 9.2% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 21.4% | 18.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 43.1% | 29.5% | 15.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 13.2% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 24.0% | 15.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weller | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 45.7% |
| Casey Mcvoy | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 27.1% | 22.1% |
| Joe Cinal | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 18.7% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 13.7% |
| Christian Green | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 20.5% | 21.5% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 5.1% |
| Jacob Weesies | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.