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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.68+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.92+0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.40-0.47vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.67-0.60vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.09+0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.19+1.54vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.05+0.40vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.19-1.87vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.52-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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2.06University of Notre Dame1.920.4%1st Place
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2.53University of Michigan1.400.3%1st Place
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3.4Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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5.91Grand Valley State University-1.090.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
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7.4Ohio State University-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.13Hope College-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.62Western Michigan University-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neubauer | 13.2% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 7.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 40.2% | 30.4% | 17.0% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Haag | 27.0% | 26.0% | 24.8% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 13.1% | 16.9% | 19.2% | 28.4% | 14.8% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Weesies | 1.9% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 7.2% |
| Kathryn Powell | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 23.8% | 37.6% |
| Christopher Weller | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 25.6% | 32.7% |
| Joe Cinal | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 16.3% | 23.6% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 8.1% |
| Casey Mcvoy | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 23.3% | 20.7% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.