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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+0.94vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.40+0.56vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.67+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.68-0.72vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.09+0.62vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.19-0.23vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.05-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-2.19-0.92vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-3.53-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94University of Notre Dame1.920.4%1st Place
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2.56University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
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3.39Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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3.28University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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5.62Grand Valley State University-1.090.0%1st Place
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5.77Hope College-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.95Ohio State University-2.050.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
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8.4Western Michigan University-3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 44.6% | 28.9% | 16.6% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Haag | 24.3% | 28.8% | 23.3% | 15.2% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 11.9% | 15.9% | 23.5% | 25.6% | 16.8% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 13.4% | 17.7% | 23.2% | 25.8% | 13.8% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Weesies | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 22.2% | 26.3% | 18.8% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Joe Cinal | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 8.9% | 20.8% | 27.3% | 23.3% | 9.9% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Weller | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 25.1% | 32.8% | 10.7% |
| Kathryn Powell | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 24.3% | 33.3% | 14.9% |
| April Bonkowski | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.