← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Hannah Thayer 21.2% 20.0% 17.7% 17.8% 11.5% 7.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Lindsey Clark 20.5% 22.9% 18.9% 15.6% 12.1% 6.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Joseph Kurta 9.1% 9.9% 13.4% 13.8% 17.6% 15.8% 12.7% 6.6% 1.1%
Leah Peluchiwski 28.9% 22.3% 19.4% 14.8% 7.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Kyle Doyle 5.1% 8.4% 8.9% 11.9% 13.4% 16.9% 17.1% 13.4% 4.9%
James Kennedy 6.8% 7.2% 9.7% 12.1% 15.1% 18.2% 18.3% 11.2% 1.4%
Dylan Sabo 2.5% 3.5% 2.1% 5.7% 6.8% 10.3% 19.3% 34.0% 15.8%
Joshua Spano 5.2% 4.8% 8.4% 7.1% 13.2% 17.1% 19.8% 18.5% 5.9%
Noah Porschart 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 2.6% 3.4% 4.9% 14.1% 70.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.