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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.11+2.19vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.27+1.08vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.68+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.04+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.37-2.25vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.00+0.79vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.37-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.20-2.53vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-3.26-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Michigan0.110.2%1st Place
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3.08Marquette University0.270.2%1st Place
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4.56Grand Valley State University-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Notre Dame-1.040.1%1st Place
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2.75University of Notre Dame0.370.3%1st Place
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6.79Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
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5.81Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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8.26Ohio State University-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Thayer | 20.8% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Clark | 20.0% | 23.2% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kurta | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| James Kennedy | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 2.2% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 29.5% | 24.2% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Sabo | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 33.9% | 15.8% |
| Joshua Spano | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 21.8% | 18.2% | 5.5% |
| Kyle Doyle | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 4.2% |
| Noah Porschart | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.