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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.27+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.37+0.30vs Predicted
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3Hope College-2.00+2.51vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-3.12+2.94vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.68-1.52vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-3.26+1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.20-2.67vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.37-3.44vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-4.52-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Marquette University0.270.3%1st Place
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2.3University of Notre Dame0.370.3%1st Place
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5.51Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.94University of Michigan-3.120.0%1st Place
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3.48Grand Valley State University-0.680.1%1st Place
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7.2Ohio State University-3.260.0%1st Place
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4.33University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.56Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Notre Dame-4.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Clark | 34.2% | 27.7% | 21.5% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 31.9% | 30.5% | 21.5% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Sabo | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 25.6% | 21.3% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
| Ambika Agrawal | 1.1% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 27.1% | 31.4% | 12.5% |
| Joseph Kurta | 14.1% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 21.1% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Noah Porschart | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 23.9% | 37.8% | 15.9% |
| Kyle Doyle | 8.2% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 17.4% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Spano | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 23.5% | 19.6% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Luke Chval | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 17.2% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.