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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.37+1.21vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.27+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.20+1.36vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.37+0.48vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.68-1.52vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.00-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-3.12+0.05vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.26-0.83vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-4.52-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Notre Dame0.370.4%1st Place
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2.42Marquette University0.270.3%1st Place
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4.36University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.48Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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3.48Grand Valley State University-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.46Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Michigan-3.120.0%1st Place
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7.17Ohio State University-3.260.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Notre Dame-4.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Peluchiwski | 36.6% | 29.7% | 17.6% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Clark | 30.5% | 26.7% | 22.6% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Doyle | 7.0% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 20.3% | 22.4% | 19.1% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Spano | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 23.1% | 17.1% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kurta | 13.3% | 19.2% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Sabo | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 26.9% | 21.7% | 8.1% | 0.9% |
| Ambika Agrawal | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 26.0% | 36.6% | 11.6% |
| Noah Porschart | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 25.8% | 34.3% | 17.1% |
| Luke Chval | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.