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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.25+5.09vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+2.53vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.88+0.86vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+6.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+3.28vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay-1.83+8.80vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-1.85+7.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-1.28vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.19+2.93vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University0.20-3.86vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.91-0.22vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.24+0.39vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy-0.89-2.47vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.90-3.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-1.53-1.35vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.84-1.18vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.51-7.89vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.53-4.65vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.15-2.90vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.35-3.49vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.58-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1340.2%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Santa Barbara0.255.9%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.639.3%1st Place
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4.86California Poly Maritime Academy0.8811.9%1st Place
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11.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.861.9%1st Place
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9.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.383.0%1st Place
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15.8California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.6%1st Place
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15.97California State University Monterey Bay-1.850.9%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.244.6%1st Place
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12.93San Diego State University-1.191.4%1st Place
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7.14Santa Clara University0.205.9%1st Place
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11.78San Diego State University-0.912.3%1st Place
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13.39San Diego State University-1.241.4%1st Place
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11.53California Poly Maritime Academy-0.892.0%1st Place
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11.83University of California at San Diego-0.902.2%1st Place
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14.65University of California at Berkeley-1.530.8%1st Place
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15.82University of California at Los Angeles-1.840.4%1st Place
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10.11University of California at Berkeley-0.512.5%1st Place
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14.35Arizona State University-1.531.1%1st Place
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17.1University of California at Davis-2.150.2%1st Place
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17.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.350.5%1st Place
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14.69University of California at Davis-1.581.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 40.2% | 23.9% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JT Long | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Brily Petersen | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Annika Altman | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% |
| Liam Marney | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Eoghan Kelley | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Lightstone | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Dante Drolet | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% |
| Hongzhen Chen | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 18.4% |
| Brooke Hopwood | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 25.1% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.