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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.68+3.55vs Predicted
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2Hope College-2.00+5.04vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.27-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.11-0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.04+0.08vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.37-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.20-1.47vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.05+0.10vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.37-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Grand Valley State University-0.680.1%1st Place
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7.04Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
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2.98Marquette University0.270.2%1st Place
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3.15University of Michigan0.110.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Notre Dame-1.040.1%1st Place
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5.78Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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8.1Ohio State University-3.050.0%1st Place
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2.78University of Notre Dame0.370.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kurta | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Sabo | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 31.7% | 21.8% |
| Lindsey Clark | 24.5% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thayer | 20.0% | 21.7% | 20.5% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| James Kennedy | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 3.0% |
| Joshua Spano | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 21.3% | 17.1% | 6.3% |
| Kyle Doyle | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 3.7% |
| Noah Brush | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 15.9% | 63.6% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 27.0% | 23.6% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.