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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-1.20+3.79vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-1.04+2.74vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.37+2.14vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.68-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.37-2.62vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.27-3.49vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.00-0.79vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.05-0.35vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-3.12-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Notre Dame-1.040.1%1st Place
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5.14Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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3.85Grand Valley State University-0.680.1%1st Place
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2.38University of Notre Dame0.370.4%1st Place
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2.51Marquette University0.270.3%1st Place
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6.21Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
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7.65Ohio State University-3.050.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Michigan-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Doyle | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| James Kennedy | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Spano | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Kurta | 11.8% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 35.5% | 26.4% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Clark | 29.4% | 28.1% | 18.9% | 13.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Sabo | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 26.2% | 19.3% | 8.6% |
| Noah Brush | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 30.0% | 40.5% |
| Ambika Agrawal | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 26.2% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.