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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.11+2.19vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.27+1.08vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.68+1.61vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.20+1.40vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.37-2.23vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.37-0.24vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.04-1.79vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.00-1.16vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-3.05-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Michigan0.110.2%1st Place
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3.08Marquette University0.270.2%1st Place
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4.61Grand Valley State University-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Michigan-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.77University of Notre Dame0.370.3%1st Place
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5.76Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Notre Dame-1.040.1%1st Place
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6.84Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
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8.13Ohio State University-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Thayer | 20.8% | 19.9% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Clark | 20.4% | 22.6% | 20.8% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kurta | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Doyle | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 4.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 29.8% | 23.2% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Spano | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 6.1% |
| James Kennedy | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Dylan Sabo | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 30.7% | 19.8% |
| Noah Brush | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 16.7% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.