← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Iowa State University-0.52+0.63vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota-1.20+0.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Iowa-2.03-0.07vs Predicted
-
4Iowa State University-2.55-0.61vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-5.29-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.63Iowa State University-0.520.5%1st Place
-
2.16University of Minnesota-1.200.3%1st Place
-
2.93University of Iowa-2.030.1%1st Place
-
3.39Iowa State University-2.550.1%1st Place
-
4.89Purdue University-5.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Peterson | 54.6% | 30.4% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Green | 28.1% | 37.5% | 25.6% | 8.3% | 0.5% |
| Geoffrey Montour | 12.0% | 18.8% | 34.8% | 33.1% | 1.3% |
| Casey White | 5.0% | 12.9% | 26.2% | 50.2% | 5.7% |
| Lucy Reising | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 5.5% | 92.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.