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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Iowa State University-0.52+0.54vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-1.20+0.03vs Predicted
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3Iowa State University-2.55+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-2.80-0.58vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-5.29-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Iowa State University-0.520.6%1st Place
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2.03University of Minnesota-1.200.3%1st Place
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3.16Iowa State University-2.550.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Iowa-2.800.0%1st Place
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4.85Purdue University-5.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Peterson | 58.0% | 31.4% | 8.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Green | 29.7% | 43.1% | 21.7% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Casey White | 7.6% | 13.9% | 37.2% | 37.9% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Caporelli | 4.4% | 11.0% | 30.3% | 47.2% | 7.1% |
| Lucy Reising | 0.3% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 7.9% | 89.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.