← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota-1.20+1.04vs Predicted
-
2Iowa State University-2.55+1.20vs Predicted
-
3Iowa State University-0.52-1.47vs Predicted
-
4University of Iowa-2.80-0.62vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-5.29-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.04University of Minnesota-1.200.3%1st Place
-
3.2Iowa State University-2.550.1%1st Place
-
1.53Iowa State University-0.520.6%1st Place
-
3.38University of Iowa-2.800.1%1st Place
-
4.85Purdue University-5.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Green | 30.0% | 43.5% | 19.5% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
| Casey White | 6.4% | 13.1% | 37.9% | 39.3% | 3.3% |
| Stefan Peterson | 58.1% | 31.7% | 8.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caporelli | 5.4% | 10.8% | 31.3% | 45.9% | 6.6% |
| Lucy Reising | 0.1% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 6.7% | 89.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.