Race 1A

maisa-saisa

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Maximilian Kuester 45.5% 27.7% 14.5% 6.6% 4.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 10.6% 14.9% 19.1% 17.6% 15.8% 12.2% 7.0% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0%
John Mastrandrea 13.7% 17.8% 16.6% 18.3% 13.4% 12.6% 6.2% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Elisabeth Kuester 4.5% 5.4% 8.6% 10.1% 12.6% 19.4% 28.2% 10.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 5.2% 7.9% 11.8% 12.2% 15.3% 16.1% 21.1% 9.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Paul Hart 7.6% 9.4% 12.8% 14.6% 17.4% 19.2% 15.3% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 10.6% 14.9% 19.1% 17.6% 15.8% 12.2% 7.0% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 11.5% 15.3% 14.7% 17.9% 17.1% 14.2% 7.8% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kristian Sonsteby 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% 1.0% 3.3% 12.6% 80.9% 0.0%
Michael Molman 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 3.6% 4.6% 10.7% 58.3% 17.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.