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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+2.97vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.69+3.71vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02-0.96vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.79-0.31vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.85-1.43vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.26-1.42vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.79-3.31vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.93-0.41vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.79vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-2.41-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.71Hampton University0.690.0%1st Place
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2.04Hampton University3.020.4%1st Place
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3.69Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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3.57George Washington University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.58Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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3.69Virginia Tech1.790.1%1st Place
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7.59Rutgers University-0.930.0%1st Place
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5.21SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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8.64Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 11.5% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Kuester | 3.9% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 29.4% | 12.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 44.7% | 25.6% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 12.3% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 14.5% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 6.4% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 12.3% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Molman | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 10.7% | 58.3% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 22.2% | 8.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 13.2% | 80.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.